Predictions Network
This market has resolved. The prices below are the last we captured from each platform, kept here for reference. Browse the archive →
PoliticsPre-game oddsevent concluded

South Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner?

Price history

Implied probability over time
Outcome
Side
Platforms (max 3)
Kalshi
No price history for this platform selection yet.Polymarket and Kalshi carry full lifetime history; others fill in as we capture daily snapshots.

Where to back Ralph Norman

Every independent platform that prices this outcome, best price after fees first. The buttons are affiliate links. We may earn a commission if you sign up, and it never changes the odds you see or what you pay.

1
Gemini4.6
Event markets from the Gemini exchange
Ralph Normanafter fees13%12% price + 0.5% entry fee
Volume$10K
Min · feesNone · Per-contract trading
Market closed
2
Kalshi4.9
The first CFTC-regulated US event exchange
Ralph Normanafter fees37%35% price + 1.6% entry fee
Volume$5.5M
Min · feesNone · Per-contract trading
Market closed

Ranked by the effective price after each platform's own entry fee. Fees shown are each platform's own and may change. We don't set or control them. Betting exchanges (e.g. Matchbook, Smarkets) instead charge commission on winnings, so they stay at their raw price here.

Implied probability by platform

Lowest tradable raw price per outcome in gold · click a row
OutcomeGemini4.6Kalshi4.9
Ralph Norman12%35%
Russell Fry10%1%

These are raw implied probabilities; gold marks the lowest raw price we can confirm is tradable. A price on a book too wide to trade is shown, but never marked. The Best odds above ranks by the price after each platform's entry fee, so the best place to trade can differ from the lowest raw number here.