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The same outcome, across every major platform, with real odds side by side and the best price after fees highlighted.
PoliticsOddsas of Aug 29, 14:01 UTC
Today’s featured market
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Price history · Yes
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Most-traded markets
Best price across every platform we track · updated hourly
Politics$62.4M
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
17%
Best · Kalshi
across 5 platforms
Politics$49.6M
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
42%
Best · Smarkets
across 4 platforms
Politics$40.4M
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
4%
Best · Limitless
across 2 platforms
Politics$40.4M
US Presidential Election 2028
18%
Best · Smarkets
across 6 platforms
Politics$32.8M
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
84%
Best · Limitless
across 2 platforms
Economics$26.7M
Fed decision in September
56%
Best · Pascal
across 2 platforms
Politics$14.1M
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
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Compare
across 2 platforms
Politics$13.5M
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
3%
Best · Polymarket
across 2 platforms
Politics$12.9M
Will the SAVE Act become law?
4%
Best · Kalshi
across 2 platforms
Sports$12.9M
Formula 1: 2026 Drivers' Champion
75%
Best · Limitless
across 3 platforms
Politics$11.2M
Trump out as President before 2027?
7%
Best · Polymarket
across 2 platforms
Politics$6.9M
Balance of Power
49%
Best · Kalshi
across 3 platforms
Next French Presidential ElectionPolitics
Resolves Jan 1, 2028 · 2 platforms tracked
$5.7M
33%
Best · Limitless
California Governor Election WinnerPolitics
Resolves Nov 3, 2026 · 2 platforms tracked
$4.9M
95%
Best · Polymarket
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?Politics
Resolves Jan 1, 2027 · 2 platforms tracked
$4.6M
63%
Best · Limitless
Iran leadership change by...?Politics
Resolves Jul 1, 2027 · 2 platforms tracked
$4.2M
25%
Best · Polymarket
Ballon d'Or Winner 2026Sports
Resolves Oct 31, 2026 · 1 platforms tracked
$3.8M
65%
Best · Polymarket
Formula 1: 2026 Constructors' ChampionSports
Resolves Dec 31, 2026 · 3 platforms tracked
$3.8M
89%
Best · Gemini
Nottingham vs LiverpoolSports
Resolves Aug 29, 2026 · 2 platforms tracked
$3.6M
38%
Best · Gemini
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after next election?Politics
Resolves Jan 1, 2028 · 3 platforms tracked
$3.5M
50%
Best · Polymarket
2026 MLB World Series championSports
Resolves Nov 5, 2026 · 2 platforms tracked
P
$2.6M
32%
Best · Pascal
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?Politics
Resolves Jan 1, 2027 · 2 platforms tracked
$2.4M
62%
Best · Polymarket
Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?Politics
Resolves Jan 1, 2027 · 2 platforms tracked
$1.8M
24%
Best · Limitless
Next prime minister of SwedenPolitics
Resolves Sep 13, 2026 · 2 platforms tracked
P
$1.5M
86%
Best · Pascal
Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch?Crypto
Resolves Jan 1, 2027 · 2 platforms tracked
P
$1.4M
60%
Best · Pascal
Where the platforms disagree
The same outcome, priced differently on different venues. The gap is the difference between the cheapest and the most expensive price we can see right now.
S&P close price end of 2026?
Kalshi 6% · Gemini 11%
5 pt gapWho will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after next election?Polymarket 50% · Kalshi 63%
13 pt gapMecklenburg-Vorpommern state election winner?
Polymarket 9% · Kalshi 15%
6 pt gapMaute vs CigarranPolymarket 23% · Kalshi 28%
5 pt gapPieczonka vs SavanoPolymarket 39% · Kalshi 58%
19 pt gapPrice gaps, not guaranteed profit · before fees · 18+
All price gaps Also trading now
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