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EconomicsOddsas of Sep 17, 17:00 UTC

S&P close price end of 2026?

DWDiane Whitfield · Macro & Rates Editor Resolves Dec 31, 2026Total volume $508K1 platform

Price history

Implied probability over time
Outcome
Side
Platforms (max 3)
Kalshi
14%17%20%10 Sept12 Sept13 Sept14 Sept16 Sept17 Sept

Where to back 7,800 to 7,999.99

Kalshi is the only platform still pricing this outcome, so there is no cross-platform best price to rank. The button is an affiliate link — we may earn a commission if you sign up, and it never changes the odds you see or what you pay.

Kalshi4.9
The first CFTC-regulated US event exchange
7,800 to 7,999.99after fees18%17% price + 1.0% entry fee
Volume$466K
Min · feesNone · Per-contract trading
Trade

This is the effective price after the platform's own entry fee. Fees shown are the platform's own and may change — we don't set or control them. Betting exchanges (e.g. Matchbook, Smarkets) instead charge commission on winnings, so they stay at their raw price here.

Implied probability by platform

Implied probability from the one platform still pricing this event
OutcomeKalshi4.9
7,800 to 7,999.9917%
7,600 to 7,799.9916%
8,000 to 8,199.9916%
7,400 to 7,599.9912%
8,200 to 8,399.998%
7,200 to 7,399.997%
7,000 to 7,199.995%
6,800 to 6,999.994%
8,400 to 8,599.994%
6,200 to 6,399.993%
6,400 to 6,599.992%

These are raw implied probabilities. With only one platform pricing this event there is no lowest-price highlight and no cross-platform comparison to draw.

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