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EconomicsOddsas of Jul 21, 09:00 UTC

S&P close price end of 2026?

DWDiane Whitfield · Macro & Rates Editor Resolves Dec 31, 2026Total volume $371K1 platforms

Price history

Implied probability over time
Outcome
Side
Platforms (max 3)
Kalshi
12%13%14%21 Jul

Where to back 7,800 to 7,999.99

Every independent platform that prices this outcome, best price after fees first. The buttons are affiliate links — we may earn a commission if you sign up, and it never changes the odds you see or what you pay.

1
Kalshi4.9Best odds
The first CFTC-regulated US event exchange
7,800 to 7,999.99after fees14%13% price + 0.8% entry fee
Volume$333K
Min · feesNone · Per-contract trading
Trade

Ranked by the effective price after each platform's own entry fee. Fees shown are each platform's own and may change — we don't set or control them. Betting exchanges (e.g. Matchbook, Smarkets) instead charge commission on winnings, so they stay at their raw price here.

Implied probability by platform

Lowest raw implied price per outcome in gold · click a row
OutcomeKalshi4.9
7,800 to 7,999.9913%
8,200 to 8,399.997%
8,000 to 8,199.9911%
8,400 to 8,599.994%
7,600 to 7,799.9911%
5,600 to 5,799.99—
7,200 to 7,399.996%
7,400 to 7,599.997%
5,800 to 5,999.99—
6,600 to 6,799.994%
8,600 to 8,799.99—

These are raw implied probabilities; gold marks the lowest raw price. The Best odds above ranks by the price after each platform's entry fee, so the best place to trade can differ from the lowest raw number here.