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EconomicsPre-game oddsevent concluded

Fed decision in September

DWDiane Whitfield · Macro & Rates Editor Resolves Sep 16, 2026Total volume $74.7M2 platforms

Price history

Implied probability over time
Side
Platforms (max 3)
Polymarket
8%25%43%10 Sept12 Sept13 Sept14 Sept15 Sept17 Sept

Where to back No change

Every independent platform that prices this outcome, best price after fees first. The buttons are affiliate links. We may earn a commission if you sign up, and it never changes the odds you see or what you pay.

1
Polymarket5.0
The largest on-chain prediction market
No change0%no entry fee
Volume$56.4M
Min · feesNone · No trading
Market closed
2
Pascal4.2
Non-custodial order-book prediction markets on Solana
No change0%no entry fee
Volume$91K
Min · feesNone · Order-book taker
Market closed

Ranked by the effective price after each platform's own entry fee. Fees shown are each platform's own and may change. We don't set or control them. Betting exchanges (e.g. Matchbook, Smarkets) instead charge commission on winnings, so they stay at their raw price here.

Implied probability by platform

Lowest tradable raw price per outcome in gold · click a row
OutcomePascal4.2Polymarket5.0
No change0%0%

These are raw implied probabilities; gold marks the lowest raw price we can confirm is tradable. A price on a book too wide to trade is shown, but never marked. The Best odds above ranks by the price after each platform's entry fee, so the best place to trade can differ from the lowest raw number here.

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