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PoliticsOddsas of Jul 11, 17:00 UTC

Next Bosniak President of Bosnia and Herzegovina?

MHMarcus Halloran · Politics & Elections Editor Resolves Oct 4, 2026Total volume $16K2 platforms

Price history

Implied probability over time
Outcome
Side
Platforms (max 3)
FutuurPolymarket
42%49%55%4 Jul6 Jul7 Jul8 Jul10 Jul11 Jul

Where to back Bakir Izetbegović

Every independent platform that prices this outcome, best price after fees first. The buttons are affiliate links — we may earn a commission if you sign up, and it never changes the odds you see or what you pay.

1
Futuur4.1Best odds
Global play-money + real-money markets
Bakir Izetbegović43%no entry fee · commission on winnings
Volume$237
Min · feesNone · Commission on
Trade
2
Polymarket5.0
The largest on-chain prediction market
Bakir Izetbegović53%no entry fee
Volume$10K
Min · feesNone · No trading
Trade

Ranked by the effective price after each platform's own entry fee. Fees shown are each platform's own and may change — we don't set or control them. Betting exchanges (e.g. Matchbook, Smarkets) instead charge commission on winnings, so they stay at their raw price here.

Implied probability by platform

Lowest raw implied price per outcome in gold · click a row
OutcomeFutuur4.1Polymarket5.0
Bakir Izetbegović43%53%
Denis Bećirović47%38%
Semir Efendić7%2%

These are raw implied probabilities; gold marks the lowest raw price. The Best odds above ranks by the price after each platform's entry fee, so the best place to trade can differ from the lowest raw number here.