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PoliticsOddsas of Jul 20, 03:00 UTC

Next prime minister of Sweden

MHMarcus Halloran · Politics & Elections Editor Resolves Sep 13, 2026Total volume $1.4M2 platforms

Price history

Implied probability over time
Outcome
Side
Platforms (max 3)
PascalPolymarket
78%80%83%13 Jul14 Jul15 Jul17 Jul18 Jul20 Jul

Where to back Magdalena Andersson

Every independent platform that prices this outcome, best price after fees first. The buttons are affiliate links — we may earn a commission if you sign up, and it never changes the odds you see or what you pay.

1
Polymarket5.0Best odds
The largest on-chain prediction market
Magdalena Andersson79%no entry fee
Volume$114K
Min · feesNone · No trading
Trade
2
Pascal4.2
Non-custodial order-book prediction markets on Solana
Magdalena Andersson80%no entry fee
Volume—
Min · feesNone · Order-book taker
Trade

Ranked by the effective price after each platform's own entry fee. Fees shown are each platform's own and may change — we don't set or control them. Betting exchanges (e.g. Matchbook, Smarkets) instead charge commission on winnings, so they stay at their raw price here.

Implied probability by platform

Lowest raw implied price per outcome in gold · click a row
OutcomePascal4.2Polymarket5.0
Magdalena Andersson80%79%
Ulf Kristersson17%17%
Jimmie Åkesson2%2%
Ebba Busch0%0%
Anna-Karin Hatt0%0%
Amanda Lind0%0%
Daniel Helldén0%0%
Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist0%0%
Nooshi Dadgostar0%0%
Simona Mohamsson0%0%

These are raw implied probabilities; gold marks the lowest raw price. The Best odds above ranks by the price after each platform's entry fee, so the best place to trade can differ from the lowest raw number here.