PoliticsOddsas of Jul 11, 17:00 UTC
Who will be elected governor of California in 2026?
Price history
Implied probability over timeOutcome
Side
Platforms (max 3)
Polymarket
Where to back Xavier Becerra
Every independent platform that prices this outcome, best price after fees first. The buttons are affiliate links — we may earn a commission if you sign up, and it never changes the odds you see or what you pay.
Xavier Becerra93%no entry fee
Volume$1.7M
Min · feesNone · No trading
Ranked by the effective price after each platform's own entry fee. Fees shown are each platform's own and may change — we don't set or control them. Betting exchanges (e.g. Matchbook, Smarkets) instead charge commission on winnings, so they stay at their raw price here.
Implied probability by platform
Lowest raw implied price per outcome in gold · click a row| Outcome | Polymarket |
|---|---|
| Xavier Becerra | 93% |
| Steve Hilton | 7% |
| Toni Atkins | 0% |
| Rick Caruso | 0% |
| Eric Swalwell | 0% |
| Eleni Kounalakis | 0% |
| Antonio Villaraigosa | 0% |
| Butch Ware | 0% |
| Alex Padilla | 0% |
| Tom Steyer | 0% |
| Chad Bianco | 0% |
These are raw implied probabilities; gold marks the lowest raw price. The Best odds above ranks by the price after each platform's entry fee, so the best place to trade can differ from the lowest raw number here.