Predictions Network
Subscribe
Showing the 2 platforms available in the United States. See the global comparison →
EconomicsOddsas of Aug 29, 15:00 UTC

S&P close price end of 2026?

DWDiane Whitfield · Macro & Rates Editor Resolves Dec 31, 2026Total volume $505K2 platforms

Price history

Implied probability over time
Outcome
Side
Platforms (max 3)
GeminiKalshi
14%17%20%22 Aug24 Aug25 Aug26 Aug28 Aug29 Aug

Where to back 8,000 to 8,199.99

Every independent platform that prices this outcome, best price after fees first. The buttons are affiliate links. We may earn a commission if you sign up, and it never changes the odds you see or what you pay.

1
Kalshi4.9Best odds
The first CFTC-regulated US event exchange
8,000 to 8,199.99after fees17%16% price + 0.9% entry fee
Volume$444K
Min · feesNone · Per-contract trading
Trade
2
Gemini4.6
Event markets from the Gemini exchange
8,000 to 8,199.99after fees18%18% price + 0.7% entry fee
Volume$52K
Min · feesNone · Per-contract trading
Trade

Ranked by the effective price after each platform's own entry fee. Fees shown are each platform's own and may change. We don't set or control them. Betting exchanges (e.g. Matchbook, Smarkets) instead charge commission on winnings, so they stay at their raw price here.

Implied probability by platform

Lowest raw implied price per outcome in gold · click a row
OutcomeGemini4.6Kalshi4.9
8,000 to 8,199.9918%16%
7,800 to 7,999.9916%16%
7,600 to 7,799.9913%12%
8,200 to 8,399.9910%9%
7,200 to 7,399.9911%6%
7,400 to 7,599.997%8%
8,400 to 8,599.996%6%
7,000 to 7,199.995%6%
3,999.99 or below6%2%
9,000.01 or above5%5%
8,600 to 8,799.993%3%
4,200 to 4,399.994%1%
6,800 to 6,999.993%3%
4,400 to 4,599.993%1%
6,000 to 6,199.993%2%
6,600 to 6,799.993%2%
4,600 to 4,799.992%1%
4,800 to 4,999.992%1%

These are raw implied probabilities; gold marks the lowest raw price. The Best odds above ranks by the price after each platform's entry fee, so the best place to trade can differ from the lowest raw number here.

More Economics markets →