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PoliticsOddsas of Jul 14, 03:00 UTC

UK - Next Prime Minister - Prime Minister after Keir Starmer

MHMarcus Halloran · Politics & Elections Editor Resolves Aug 2, 2029Total volume —2 platforms

Price history

Implied probability over time
Outcome
Side
Platforms (max 3)
MatchbookSmarkets
1%5%8%7 Jul8 Jul9 Jul11 Jul12 Jul14 Jul

Where to back Sadiq Khan

Every independent platform that prices this outcome, best price after fees first. The buttons are affiliate links — we may earn a commission if you sign up, and it never changes the odds you see or what you pay.

1
Smarkets4.5Best odds
Low-commission UK exchange
Sadiq Khan0%no entry fee · commission on winnings
Volume—
Min · fees£10 · 2% commission
Trade
2
Matchbook4.5
Low-commission betting exchange
Sadiq Khan7%no entry fee · commission on winnings
Volume€26K
Min · fees£10 · 2% commission
Trade

Ranked by the effective price after each platform's own entry fee. Fees shown are each platform's own and may change — we don't set or control them. Betting exchanges (e.g. Matchbook, Smarkets) instead charge commission on winnings, so they stay at their raw price here.

Implied probability by platform

Lowest raw implied price per outcome in gold · click a row
OutcomeMatchbook4.5Smarkets4.5
Sadiq Khan7%0%
Darren Jones1%0%
David Lammy0%0%

These are raw implied probabilities; gold marks the lowest raw price. The Best odds above ranks by the price after each platform's entry fee, so the best place to trade can differ from the lowest raw number here.