PoliticsOddsas of Jul 14, 05:00 UTC
UK - Next Prime Minister - Prime Minister after Keir Starmer
Price history
Implied probability over timeOutcome
Side
Platforms (max 3)
KalshiMatchbook
Where to back Darren Jones
Every independent platform that prices this outcome, best price after fees first. The buttons are affiliate links — we may earn a commission if you sign up, and it never changes the odds you see or what you pay.
Darren Jonesafter fees1%1% price + 0.1% entry fee
Volume$19K
Min · feesNone · Per-contract trading
Darren Jones1%no entry fee · commission on winnings
Volume€10K
Min · fees£10 · 2% commission
Ranked by the effective price after each platform's own entry fee. Fees shown are each platform's own and may change — we don't set or control them. Betting exchanges (e.g. Matchbook, Smarkets) instead charge commission on winnings, so they stay at their raw price here.
Implied probability by platform
Lowest raw implied price per outcome in gold · click a row| Outcome | Kalshi | MMatchbook |
|---|---|---|
| Darren Jones | 1% | 1% |
| Nigel Farage | 0% | 1% |
| David Lammy | 0% | 0% |
| Ed Davey | 0% | 0% |
| Bridget Phillipson | 0% | 0% |
These are raw implied probabilities; gold marks the lowest raw price. The Best odds above ranks by the price after each platform's entry fee, so the best place to trade can differ from the lowest raw number here.