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PoliticsOddsas of Jul 21, 11:00 UTC

Will the SAVE Act become law?

MHMarcus Halloran · Politics & Elections Editor Resolves Jan 4, 2027Total volume $9.0M2 platforms

Price history

Implied probability over time
Side
Platforms (max 3)
GeminiKalshi
7%10%13%14 Jul15 Jul17 Jul18 Jul20 Jul21 Jul

Where to back Yes

Every independent platform that prices this outcome, best price after fees first. The buttons are affiliate links — we may earn a commission if you sign up, and it never changes the odds you see or what you pay.

1
Kalshi4.9Best odds
The first CFTC-regulated US event exchange
Yesafter fees8%8% price + 0.5% entry fee
Volume$8.9M
Min · feesNone · Per-contract trading
Trade
2
Gemini4.6
Event markets from the Gemini exchange
Yesafter fees10%10% price + 0.4% entry fee
Volume$63K
Min · feesNone · Per-contract trading
Trade

Ranked by the effective price after each platform's own entry fee. Fees shown are each platform's own and may change — we don't set or control them. Betting exchanges (e.g. Matchbook, Smarkets) instead charge commission on winnings, so they stay at their raw price here.

Implied probability by platform

Lowest raw implied price per outcome in gold · click a row
OutcomeGemini4.6Kalshi4.9
Yes10%8%

These are raw implied probabilities; gold marks the lowest raw price. The Best odds above ranks by the price after each platform's entry fee, so the best place to trade can differ from the lowest raw number here.