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PoliticsOddsas of Jul 11, 17:00 UTC

Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?

MHMarcus Halloran · Politics & Elections Editor Resolves Dec 31, 2026Total volume $120K2 platforms

Price history

Implied probability over time
Side
Platforms (max 3)
FutuurPolymarket
12%20%28%4 Jul6 Jul7 Jul8 Jul10 Jul11 Jul

Where to back Yes

Every independent platform that prices this outcome, best price after fees first. The buttons are affiliate links — we may earn a commission if you sign up, and it never changes the odds you see or what you pay.

1
Polymarket5.0Best odds
The largest on-chain prediction market
Yes13%no entry fee
Volume$120K
Min · feesNone · No trading
Trade
2
Futuur4.1
Global play-money + real-money markets
Yes27%no entry fee · commission on winnings
Volume$151
Min · feesNone · Commission on
Trade

Ranked by the effective price after each platform's own entry fee. Fees shown are each platform's own and may change — we don't set or control them. Betting exchanges (e.g. Matchbook, Smarkets) instead charge commission on winnings, so they stay at their raw price here.

Implied probability by platform

Lowest raw implied price per outcome in gold · click a row
OutcomeFutuur4.1Polymarket5.0
Yes27%13%

These are raw implied probabilities; gold marks the lowest raw price. The Best odds above ranks by the price after each platform's entry fee, so the best place to trade can differ from the lowest raw number here.