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PoliticsOddsas of Aug 29, 15:00 UTC

Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

MHMarcus Halloran · Politics & Elections Editor Resolves Jan 1, 2027Total volume $2.4M2 platforms

Price history

Implied probability over time
Outcome
Side
Platforms (max 3)
LimitlessPolymarket
43%50%57%22 Aug24 Aug25 Aug26 Aug28 Aug29 Aug

Where to back December 31, 2026

Every independent platform that prices this outcome, best price after fees first. The buttons are affiliate links. We may earn a commission if you sign up, and it never changes the odds you see or what you pay.

1
Limitless4.4Best odds
On-chain markets on Base
December 31, 202644%no entry fee
Volume$0
Min · feesNone · No platform
Trade
2
Polymarket5.0
The largest on-chain prediction market
December 31, 202644%no entry fee
Volume$134K
Min · feesNone · No trading
Trade

Ranked by the effective price after each platform's own entry fee. Fees shown are each platform's own and may change. We don't set or control them. Betting exchanges (e.g. Matchbook, Smarkets) instead charge commission on winnings, so they stay at their raw price here.

Implied probability by platform

Lowest raw implied price per outcome in gold · click a row
OutcomeLimitless4.4Polymarket5.0
December 31, 202644%44%
September 30, 202616%16%
August 31, 20261%0%

These are raw implied probabilities; gold marks the lowest raw price. The Best odds above ranks by the price after each platform's entry fee, so the best place to trade can differ from the lowest raw number here.

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