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Showing the 2 platforms available in the United States. See the global comparison →
PoliticsOddsas of Jul 14, 01:00 UTC

Los Angeles Mayor Winner?

MHMarcus Halloran · Politics & Elections Editor Resolves Nov 4, 2026Total volume $136K2 platforms

Price history

Implied probability over time
Outcome
Side
Platforms (max 3)
GeminiPredictIt
56%61%65%7 Jul8 Jul9 Jul11 Jul12 Jul14 Jul

Where to back Karen Bass

Every independent platform that prices this outcome, best price after fees first. The buttons are affiliate links — we may earn a commission if you sign up, and it never changes the odds you see or what you pay.

1
PredictIt3.5Best odds
US political prediction market
Karen Bass61%no entry fee · withdrawal/profit fee
Volume—
Min · feesNone · 5% on
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2
Gemini4.6
Event markets from the Gemini exchange
Karen Bassafter fees65%64% price + 1.2% entry fee
Volume$136K
Min · feesNone · Per-contract trading
Trade

Ranked by the effective price after each platform's own entry fee. Fees shown are each platform's own and may change — we don't set or control them. Betting exchanges (e.g. Matchbook, Smarkets) instead charge commission on winnings, so they stay at their raw price here.

Implied probability by platform

Lowest raw implied price per outcome in gold · click a row
OutcomeGemini4.6PredictIt3.5
Karen Bass64%61%
Nithya Raman37%40%

These are raw implied probabilities; gold marks the lowest raw price. The Best odds above ranks by the price after each platform's entry fee, so the best place to trade can differ from the lowest raw number here.