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Showing the 2 platforms available in the United States. See the global comparison →
PoliticsOddsas of Jul 14, 02:00 UTC

Florida Republican Governor nominee?

MHMarcus Halloran · Politics & Elections Editor Resolves Aug 19, 2026Total volume $761K2 platforms

Price history

Implied probability over time
Outcome
Side
Platforms (max 3)
GeminiPolymarket
87%92%98%7 Jul8 Jul9 Jul11 Jul12 Jul14 Jul

Where to back Byron Donalds

Every independent platform that prices this outcome, best price after fees first. The buttons are affiliate links — we may earn a commission if you sign up, and it never changes the odds you see or what you pay.

1
Gemini4.6Best odds
Event markets from the Gemini exchange
Byron Donaldsafter fees96%96% price + 0.2% entry fee
Volume$20K
Min · feesNone · Per-contract trading
Trade
2
Polymarket5.0
The largest on-chain prediction market
Byron Donalds96%no entry fee
Volume$151K
Min · feesNone · No trading
Trade

Ranked by the effective price after each platform's own entry fee. Fees shown are each platform's own and may change — we don't set or control them. Betting exchanges (e.g. Matchbook, Smarkets) instead charge commission on winnings, so they stay at their raw price here.

Implied probability by platform

Lowest raw implied price per outcome in gold · click a row
OutcomeGemini4.6Polymarket5.0
Byron Donalds96%96%
James Fishback4%3%
Jay Collins2%1%
Casey DeSantis1%0%

These are raw implied probabilities; gold marks the lowest raw price. The Best odds above ranks by the price after each platform's entry fee, so the best place to trade can differ from the lowest raw number here.