Predictions Network
Showing the 4 platforms available in the Philippines. See the global comparison →
PoliticsOddsas of Aug 29, 15:00 UTC

US Presidential Election 2028

Price history

Implied probability over time
Outcome
Side
Platforms (max 3)
KalshiLimitlessPolymarket
17%22%26%22 Aug24 Aug25 Aug26 Aug28 Aug29 Aug

Where to back JD Vance

Every independent platform that prices this outcome, best price after fees first. The buttons are affiliate links. We may earn a commission if you sign up, and it never changes the odds you see or what you pay.

1
Matchbook4.5Best odds
Low-commission betting exchange
JD Vance20%no entry fee · commission on winnings
Volume€7K
Min · fees£10 · 2% commission
2
Kalshi4.9
The first CFTC-regulated US event exchange
JD Vanceafter fees23%22% price + 1.2% entry fee
Volume$4.0M
Min · feesNone · Per-contract trading
3
Limitless4.4
On-chain markets on Base
JD Vance25%no entry fee
Volume$3K
Min · feesNone · No platform
4
Polymarket5.0
The largest on-chain prediction market
JD Vance25%no entry fee
Volume$15.9M
Min · feesNone · No trading

Ranked by the effective price after each platform's own entry fee. Fees shown are each platform's own and may change. We don't set or control them. Betting exchanges (e.g. Matchbook, Smarkets) instead charge commission on winnings, so they stay at their raw price here.

Implied probability by platform

Lowest raw implied price per outcome in gold · click a row
OutcomeKalshi4.9Limitless4.4Matchbook4.5Polymarket5.0
JD Vance22%25%20%25%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez11%11%12%11%
Gavin Newsom9%8%11%8%
Jon Ossoff11%10%11%
Marco Rubio13%11%10%11%
Donald Trump3%2%2%
Andy Beshear3%1%
Donald Trump Jr.1%1%
Mark Kelly4%5%2%
Pete Buttigieg4%3%2%
Wes Moore1%1%
Thomas Massie1%3%1%
Tucker Carlson2%3%1%
Kamala Harris4%3%2%3%
Josh Shapiro3%3%2%3%
Ron DeSantis3%2%1%

These are raw implied probabilities; gold marks the lowest raw price. The Best odds above ranks by the price after each platform's entry fee, so the best place to trade can differ from the lowest raw number here.

US Presidential Election 2028 in the Philippines: odds compared across prediction markets · Predictions Network