Predictions Network
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PoliticsOddsas of Aug 29, 15:00 UTC

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Price history

Implied probability over time
Outcome
Side
Platforms (max 3)
KalshiLimitlessPolymarket
15%31%47%22 Aug24 Aug25 Aug26 Aug28 Aug29 Aug

Where to back Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Every independent platform that prices this outcome, best price after fees first. The buttons are affiliate links. We may earn a commission if you sign up, and it never changes the odds you see or what you pay.

1
Kalshi4.9Best odds
The first CFTC-regulated US event exchange
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortezafter fees17%16% price + 0.9% entry fee
Volume$8.8M
Min · feesNone · Per-contract trading
2
Polymarket5.0
The largest on-chain prediction market
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez19%no entry fee
Volume$15.1M
Min · feesNone · No trading
3
Limitless4.4
On-chain markets on Base
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez19%no entry fee
Volume$743
Min · feesNone · No platform

Ranked by the effective price after each platform's own entry fee. Fees shown are each platform's own and may change. We don't set or control them. Betting exchanges (e.g. Matchbook, Smarkets) instead charge commission on winnings, so they stay at their raw price here.

Implied probability by platform

Lowest raw implied price per outcome in gold · click a row
OutcomeKalshi4.9Limitless4.4Polymarket5.0
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%19%19%
Gavin Newsom14%14%14%
Kamala Harris8%8%8%
Jon Ossoff17%16%
Pete Buttigieg5%6%6%
Josh Shapiro5%5%5%
Andy Beshear4%2%2%
J.B. Pritzker2%1%
Gretchen Whitmer1%1%
Mark Kelly5%3%
Wes Moore3%1%
Ro Khanna2%2%
James Talarico2%2%
Michelle Obama1%1%
Rahm Emanuel3%2%
Mark Cuban1%1%

These are raw implied probabilities; gold marks the lowest raw price. The Best odds above ranks by the price after each platform's entry fee, so the best place to trade can differ from the lowest raw number here.