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PoliticsOddsas of Aug 29, 15:00 UTC

Next prime minister of Sweden

MHMarcus Halloran · Politics & Elections Editor Resolves Sep 13, 2026Total volume —2 platforms

Price history

Implied probability over time
Outcome
Side
Platforms (max 3)
Polymarket
83%89%94%22 Aug24 Aug25 Aug26 Aug28 Aug29 Aug

Where to back Magdalena Andersson

Every independent platform that prices this outcome, best price after fees first. The buttons are affiliate links. We may earn a commission if you sign up, and it never changes the odds you see or what you pay.

1
Pascal4.2Best odds
Non-custodial order-book prediction markets on Solana
Magdalena Andersson86%no entry fee
Volume$84
Min · feesNone · Order-book taker
Trade
2
Polymarket5.0
The largest on-chain prediction market
Magdalena Andersson86%no entry fee
Volume$304K
Min · feesNone · No trading
Trade

Ranked by the effective price after each platform's own entry fee. Fees shown are each platform's own and may change. We don't set or control them. Betting exchanges (e.g. Matchbook, Smarkets) instead charge commission on winnings, so they stay at their raw price here.

Implied probability by platform

Lowest raw implied price per outcome in gold · click a row
OutcomePascal4.2Polymarket5.0
Magdalena Andersson86%86%
Ulf Kristersson14%14%
Jimmie Åkesson1%1%
Ebba Busch0%0%
Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist0%0%
Anna-Karin Hatt0%0%
Amanda Lind0%0%
Daniel Helldén0%0%
Nooshi Dadgostar0%0%
Simona Mohamsson0%0%

These are raw implied probabilities; gold marks the lowest raw price. The Best odds above ranks by the price after each platform's entry fee, so the best place to trade can differ from the lowest raw number here.

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