PoliticsOddsas of Jul 14, 02:00 UTC
2028 Democratic Nominee for President?
Price history
Implied probability over timeOutcome
Side
Platforms (max 3)
KalshiLimitless
Where to back Gavin Newsom
Every independent platform that prices this outcome, best price after fees first. The buttons are affiliate links — we may earn a commission if you sign up, and it never changes the odds you see or what you pay.
Gavin Newsomafter fees21%20% price + 1.1% entry fee
Volume$7.6M
Min · feesNone · Per-contract trading
Gavin Newsom21%no entry fee
Volume$11K
Min · feesNone · No platform
Ranked by the effective price after each platform's own entry fee. Fees shown are each platform's own and may change — we don't set or control them. Betting exchanges (e.g. Matchbook, Smarkets) instead charge commission on winnings, so they stay at their raw price here.
Implied probability by platform
Lowest raw implied price per outcome in gold · click a row| Outcome | Kalshi | Limitless |
|---|---|---|
| Gavin Newsom | 20% | 21% |
| Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 16% | 15% |
| Kamala Harris | 8% | 7% |
| Josh Shapiro | 5% | 6% |
| Pete Buttigieg | 5% | 6% |
| Andy Beshear | 4% | 3% |
These are raw implied probabilities; gold marks the lowest raw price. The Best odds above ranks by the price after each platform's entry fee, so the best place to trade can differ from the lowest raw number here.