PoliticsOddsas of Jul 14, 03:00 UTC

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

MHMarcus Halloran · Politics & Elections Editor Resolves Nov 8, 2028Total volume $36.7M3 platforms

Price history

Implied probability over time

Outcome

Side

Platforms (max 3)

KalshiLimitlessPolymarket

Where to back Donald Trump Jr.

Every independent platform that prices this outcome, best price after fees first. The buttons are affiliate links — we may earn a commission if you sign up, and it never changes the odds you see or what you pay.

Polymarket5.0Best odds

The largest on-chain prediction market

Donald Trump Jr.1%no entry fee

Volume$9.3M

Min · feesNone · No trading

Trade

Kalshi4.9

The first CFTC-regulated US event exchange

Donald Trump Jr.after fees4%4% price + 0.2% entry fee

Volume$2.3M

Min · feesNone · Per-contract trading

Trade

Ranked by the effective price after each platform's own entry fee. Fees shown are each platform's own and may change — we don't set or control them. Betting exchanges (e.g. Matchbook, Smarkets) instead charge commission on winnings, so they stay at their raw price here.

Implied probability by platform

Lowest raw implied price per outcome in gold · click a row

Outcome	Kalshi4.9	Limitless4.4	Polymarket5.0
Donald Trump Jr.	4%	—	1%
Marco Rubio	28%	—	28%
Tucker Carlson	3%	48%	3%
J.D. Vance	41%	24%	42%
Donald Trump	3%	3%	2%
Ron DeSantis	4%	—	2%
Rand Paul	1%	—	1%
Glenn Youngkin	1%	—	1%
Ivanka Trump	1%	—	1%
Marjorie Taylor Greene	1%	—	1%
Ted Cruz	1%	—	1%
Vivek Ramaswamy	1%	—	1%
Josh Hawley	1%	—	1%
Sarah Huckabee Sanders	1%	—	1%

These are raw implied probabilities; gold marks the lowest raw price. The Best odds above ranks by the price after each platform's entry fee, so the best place to trade can differ from the lowest raw number here.