PoliticsOddsas of Jul 14, 06:00 UTC
Who will win the next French presidential election?
Price history
Implied probability over timeOutcome
Side
Platforms (max 3)
PolymarketPredictIt
Where to back Marine Le Pen
Every independent platform that prices this outcome, best price after fees first. The buttons are affiliate links — we may earn a commission if you sign up, and it never changes the odds you see or what you pay.
Marine Le Pen25%no entry fee · withdrawal/profit fee
Volume—
Min · feesNone · 5% on
Marine Le Pen31%no entry fee
Volume$1.4M
Min · feesNone · No trading
Ranked by the effective price after each platform's own entry fee. Fees shown are each platform's own and may change — we don't set or control them. Betting exchanges (e.g. Matchbook, Smarkets) instead charge commission on winnings, so they stay at their raw price here.
Implied probability by platform
Lowest raw implied price per outcome in gold · click a row| Outcome | Polymarket | PredictIt |
|---|---|---|
| Marine Le Pen | 31% | 25% |
| Édouard Philippe | 28% | 20% |
| Jordan Bardella | 3% | 12% |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 13% | 6% |
| Gérald Darmanin | 1% | 4% |
| Gabriel Attal | 3% | 4% |
| Bernard Cazeneuve | 1% | 3% |
| Sébastien Lecornu | 1% | 2% |
These are raw implied probabilities; gold marks the lowest raw price. The Best odds above ranks by the price after each platform's entry fee, so the best place to trade can differ from the lowest raw number here.