PoliticsOddsas of Jul 11, 17:00 UTC
Brazil 2026 Election: Who will be elected Governor of São Paulo?
Price history
Implied probability over timeOutcome
Side
Platforms (max 3)
Futuur
Where to back Tarcísio de Freitas
Every independent platform that prices this outcome, best price after fees first. The buttons are affiliate links — we may earn a commission if you sign up, and it never changes the odds you see or what you pay.
Tarcísio de Freitas84%no entry fee · commission on winnings
Volume$674
Min · feesNone · Commission on
Ranked by the effective price after each platform's own entry fee. Fees shown are each platform's own and may change — we don't set or control them. Betting exchanges (e.g. Matchbook, Smarkets) instead charge commission on winnings, so they stay at their raw price here.
Implied probability by platform
Lowest raw implied price per outcome in gold · click a row| Outcome | Futuur |
|---|---|
| Tarcísio de Freitas | 84% |
| Márcio França | — |
| Fernando Haddad | 10% |
| Kim Kataguiri | 5% |
| Paulo Serra | 5% |
| Ricardo Nunes | — |
| Erika Hilton | — |
These are raw implied probabilities; gold marks the lowest raw price. The Best odds above ranks by the price after each platform's entry fee, so the best place to trade can differ from the lowest raw number here.