PoliticsOddsas of Jul 19, 11:00 UTC

Trump 2026 Approval Rating - Low

MHMarcus Halloran · Politics & Elections Editor Resolves Dec 31, 2026Total volume $62K2 platforms

Price history

Implied probability over time

Outcome

Side

Platforms (max 3)

Polymarket

Where to back 35%

Every independent platform that prices this outcome, best price after fees first. The buttons are affiliate links — we may earn a commission if you sign up, and it never changes the odds you see or what you pay.

Smarkets4.5Best odds

Low-commission UK exchange

35%27%no entry fee · commission on winnings

Volume—

Min · fees£10 · 2% commission

Trade

Polymarket5.0

The largest on-chain prediction market

35%32%no entry fee

Volume$62K

Min · feesNone · No trading

Trade

Ranked by the effective price after each platform's own entry fee. Fees shown are each platform's own and may change — we don't set or control them. Betting exchanges (e.g. Matchbook, Smarkets) instead charge commission on winnings, so they stay at their raw price here.

Implied probability by platform

Lowest raw implied price per outcome in gold · click a row

Outcome	Polymarket5.0	Smarkets4.5
35%	32%	27%
25%	5%	8%
30%	5%	7%
20%	2%	1%

These are raw implied probabilities; gold marks the lowest raw price. The Best odds above ranks by the price after each platform's entry fee, so the best place to trade can differ from the lowest raw number here.