Predictions Network
This market has resolved. The prices below are the last we captured from each platform, kept here for reference. Browse the archive →
PoliticsPre-game oddsevent concluded

Who will win the Democratic nomination in the NY-12 House primary?

Price history

Implied probability over time
Outcome
Side
Platforms (max 3)
Polymarket
99%99%100%4 Jul6 Jul7 Jul8 Jul10 Jul11 Jul

Where to back Micah Lasher

Every independent platform that prices this outcome, best price after fees first. The buttons are affiliate links — we may earn a commission if you sign up, and it never changes the odds you see or what you pay.

1
Polymarket5.0
The largest on-chain prediction market
Micah Lasher100%no entry fee
Volume$204K
Min · feesNone · No trading
Market closed

Ranked by the effective price after each platform's own entry fee. Fees shown are each platform's own and may change — we don't set or control them. Betting exchanges (e.g. Matchbook, Smarkets) instead charge commission on winnings, so they stay at their raw price here.

Implied probability by platform

Lowest raw implied price per outcome in gold · click a row
OutcomePolymarket5.0
Micah Lasher100%
Alex Bores0%
Erik Bottcher0%
Laura Dunn
Liam Elkind0%
Carolyn Maloney0%
Andrew Cuomo0%
Jami Floyd
Brad Lander0%
Scott Stringer0%
Liz Krueger0%

These are raw implied probabilities; gold marks the lowest raw price. The Best odds above ranks by the price after each platform's entry fee, so the best place to trade can differ from the lowest raw number here.