PoliticsOddsas of Jul 14, 03:00 UTC
Who will leave the Trump Administration in 2026?
Price history
Implied probability over timeOutcome
Side
Platforms (max 3)
FutuurGemini
Where to back Kash Patel
Every independent platform that prices this outcome, best price after fees first. The buttons are affiliate links — we may earn a commission if you sign up, and it never changes the odds you see or what you pay.
Kash Patelafter fees54%53% price + 1.2% entry fee
Volume$10K
Min · feesNone · Per-contract trading
Kash Patel58%no entry fee · commission on winnings
Volume$1K
Min · feesNone · Commission on
Ranked by the effective price after each platform's own entry fee. Fees shown are each platform's own and may change — we don't set or control them. Betting exchanges (e.g. Matchbook, Smarkets) instead charge commission on winnings, so they stay at their raw price here.
Implied probability by platform
Lowest raw implied price per outcome in gold · click a row| Outcome | Futuur | Gemini |
|---|---|---|
| Kash Patel | 58% | 53% |
| Howard Lutnick | 35% | 34% |
| Pete Hegseth | 33% | 23% |
| Peter Navarro | 21% | 19% |
| Brendan Carr | 19% | 19% |
| Marco Rubio | 12% | 16% |
These are raw implied probabilities; gold marks the lowest raw price. The Best odds above ranks by the price after each platform's entry fee, so the best place to trade can differ from the lowest raw number here.