Predictions Network
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SportsOddsas of Aug 29, 20:00 UTC

US Open Men's Singles Winner

Price history

Implied probability over time
Outcome
Side
Platforms (max 3)
GeminiKalshi
23%30%36%22 Aug24 Aug25 Aug27 Aug28 Aug29 Aug

Where to back Carlos Alcaraz

Every independent platform that prices this outcome, best price after fees first. The buttons are affiliate links. We may earn a commission if you sign up, and it never changes the odds you see or what you pay.

1
Kalshi4.9Best odds
The first CFTC-regulated US event exchange
Carlos Alcarazafter fees28%27% price + 1.4% entry fee
Volume$1.3M
Min · feesNone · Per-contract trading
2
Gemini4.6
Event markets from the Gemini exchange
Carlos Alcarazafter fees28%28% price + 1.0% entry fee
Volume$103K
Min · feesNone · Per-contract trading

Ranked by the effective price after each platform's own entry fee. Fees shown are each platform's own and may change. We don't set or control them. Betting exchanges (e.g. Matchbook, Smarkets) instead charge commission on winnings, so they stay at their raw price here.

Implied probability by platform

Lowest raw implied price per outcome in gold · click a row
OutcomeGemini4.6Kalshi4.9
Carlos Alcaraz28%27%
Alexander Zverev24%22%
Novak Djokovic11%11%
Arthur Fils8%7%
Ben Shelton7%6%
Taylor Fritz7%7%
Rafael Jodar6%6%
Felix Auger-Aliassime4%4%
Jakub Mensik3%2%
Daniil Medvedev3%3%
Frances Tiafoe2%3%
Cameron Norrie2%1%
Alexander Bublik2%1%
Gabriel Diallo2%1%
Alex de Minaur2%2%
Francisco Cerundolo2%1%
Flavio Cobolli2%3%
Jack Draper2%1%
Joao Fonseca2%1%
Sebastian Korda2%1%
Tommy Paul2%2%
Lorenzo Musetti2%2%
Holger Rune2%1%
Casper Ruud2%1%
Andrey Rublev2%1%
Learner Tien2%2%
Hubert Hurkacz2%1%
Stefanos Tsitsipas2%1%
Valentin Vacherot2%1%
Dino Prizmic2%1%
Karen Khachanov2%1%
Jan-Lennard Struff2%1%
Jannik Sinner1%1%
Alex Michelsen1%
Brandon Nakashima2%

These are raw implied probabilities; gold marks the lowest raw price. The Best odds above ranks by the price after each platform's entry fee, so the best place to trade can differ from the lowest raw number here.