SportsOddsas of Jul 17, 05:00 UTC

US Open Men's Singles Winner

TBTheo Berkmann · Sports Markets Writer Resolves Sep 14, 2026Total volume $115K2 platforms

Price history

Implied probability over time

Outcome

Side

Platforms (max 3)

Kalshi

Where to back Rafael Jodar

Every independent platform that prices this outcome, best price after fees first. The buttons are affiliate links — we may earn a commission if you sign up, and it never changes the odds you see or what you pay.

Kalshi4.9Best odds

The first CFTC-regulated US event exchange

Rafael Jodarafter fees2%2% price + 0.1% entry fee

Volume$7K

Min · feesNone · Per-contract trading

Trade

Ranked by the effective price after each platform's own entry fee. Fees shown are each platform's own and may change — we don't set or control them. Betting exchanges (e.g. Matchbook, Smarkets) instead charge commission on winnings, so they stay at their raw price here.

Implied probability by platform

Lowest raw implied price per outcome in gold · click a row

Outcome	Gemini4.6	Kalshi4.9
Rafael Jodar	—	2%
Jannik Sinner	57%	57%
Carlos Alcaraz	23%	24%
Alexander Zverev	8%	9%
Novak Djokovic	4%	5%
Joao Fonseca	—	2%
Jack Draper	—	1%
Lorenzo Musetti	—	1%
Arthur Fils	—	1%
Ben Shelton	—	3%
Alex de Minaur	—	1%
Cameron Norrie	—	1%
Stefanos Tsitsipas	—	1%
Karen Khachanov	—	0%
Sebastian Korda	—	1%
Hubert Hurkacz	—	0%
Daniil Medvedev	—	1%
Francisco Cerundolo	—	1%
Taylor Fritz	—	2%
Andrey Rublev	—	1%
Jan-Lennard Struff	—	0%
Tommy Paul	—	1%
Casper Ruud	—	1%
Alexander Bublik	—	1%
Frances Tiafoe	—	1%
Jakub Mensik	—	2%
Holger Rune	—	1%
Flavio Cobolli	—	1%
Gabriel Diallo	—	1%
Valentin Vacherot	—	1%
Felix Auger-Aliassime	—	2%
Dino Prizmic	—	0%
Learner Tien	—	1%

These are raw implied probabilities; gold marks the lowest raw price. The Best odds above ranks by the price after each platform's entry fee, so the best place to trade can differ from the lowest raw number here.