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PoliticsOddsas of Aug 29, 22:00 UTC

Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?

MHMarcus Halloran · Politics & Elections Editor Resolves Oct 1, 2026Total volume $337K2 platforms

Price history

Implied probability over time
Outcome
Side
Platforms (max 3)
LimitlessPolymarket
15%50%85%22 Aug24 Aug25 Aug27 Aug28 Aug29 Aug

Where to back September 30

Every independent platform that prices this outcome, best price after fees first. The buttons are affiliate links. We may earn a commission if you sign up, and it never changes the odds you see or what you pay.

1
Polymarket5.0Best odds
The largest on-chain prediction market
September 3011%no entry fee
Volume$97K
Min · feesNone · No trading
Trade
2
Limitless4.4
On-chain markets on Base
September 3088%no entry fee
Volume$0
Min · feesNone · No platform
Trade

Ranked by the effective price after each platform's own entry fee. Fees shown are each platform's own and may change. We don't set or control them. Betting exchanges (e.g. Matchbook, Smarkets) instead charge commission on winnings, so they stay at their raw price here.

Implied probability by platform

Lowest raw implied price per outcome in gold · click a row
OutcomeLimitless4.4Polymarket5.0
September 3088%11%
September 1575%5%
August 312%1%

These are raw implied probabilities; gold marks the lowest raw price. The Best odds above ranks by the price after each platform's entry fee, so the best place to trade can differ from the lowest raw number here.

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