PoliticsOddsas of Jul 15, 04:00 UTC

2028 Democratic VP nominee

MHMarcus Halloran · Politics & Elections Editor Resolves Nov 7, 2028Total volume $237K2 platforms

Price history

Implied probability over time

Outcome

Side

Platforms (max 3)

KalshiPolymarket

Where to back Gretchen Whitmer

Every independent platform that prices this outcome, best price after fees first. The buttons are affiliate links — we may earn a commission if you sign up, and it never changes the odds you see or what you pay.

Polymarket5.0Best odds

The largest on-chain prediction market

Gretchen Whitmer9%no entry fee

Volume$2K

Min · feesNone · No trading

Trade

Kalshi4.9

The first CFTC-regulated US event exchange

Gretchen Whitmerafter fees10%10% price + 0.6% entry fee

Volume$184K

Min · feesNone · Per-contract trading

Trade

Ranked by the effective price after each platform's own entry fee. Fees shown are each platform's own and may change — we don't set or control them. Betting exchanges (e.g. Matchbook, Smarkets) instead charge commission on winnings, so they stay at their raw price here.

Implied probability by platform

Lowest raw implied price per outcome in gold · click a row

Outcome	Kalshi4.9	Polymarket5.0
Gretchen Whitmer	10%	9%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez	8%	9%
Gavin Newsom	7%	4%
Andy Beshear	7%	5%
Pete Buttigieg	7%	5%
Josh Shapiro	4%	4%
Jon Ossoff	4%	5%
Raphael Warnock	3%	4%
Roy Cooper	2%	5%
Ro Khanna	2%	5%
J.B. Pritzker	2%	5%
Rahm Emanuel	1%	10%
Jon Stewart	1%	9%
Stephen A. Smith	1%	4%

These are raw implied probabilities; gold marks the lowest raw price. The Best odds above ranks by the price after each platform's entry fee, so the best place to trade can differ from the lowest raw number here.