PoliticsOddsas of Aug 29, 19:00 UTC
US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
Price history
Implied probability over timeSide
Platforms (max 3)
LimitlessPolymarket
Where to back Yes
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Yes86%no entry fee
Volume$0
Min · feesNone · No platform
Yes87%no entry fee
Volume$238K
Min · feesNone · No trading
Ranked by the effective price after each platform's own entry fee. Fees shown are each platform's own and may change. We don't set or control them. Betting exchanges (e.g. Matchbook, Smarkets) instead charge commission on winnings, so they stay at their raw price here.
Implied probability by platform
Lowest raw implied price per outcome in gold · click a rowThese are raw implied probabilities; gold marks the lowest raw price. The Best odds above ranks by the price after each platform's entry fee, so the best place to trade can differ from the lowest raw number here.