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PoliticsOddsas of Aug 29, 20:00 UTC

2028 Democratic VP nominee

MHMarcus Halloran · Politics & Elections Editor Resolves Nov 7, 2028Total volume $288K2 platforms

Price history

Implied probability over time
Outcome
Side
Platforms (max 3)
KalshiPolymarket
5%9%13%22 Aug24 Aug25 Aug27 Aug28 Aug29 Aug

Where to back Gretchen Whitmer

Every independent platform that prices this outcome, best price after fees first. The buttons are affiliate links. We may earn a commission if you sign up, and it never changes the odds you see or what you pay.

1
Kalshi4.9Best odds
The first CFTC-regulated US event exchange
Gretchen Whitmerafter fees10%10% price + 0.6% entry fee
Volume$208K
Min · feesNone · Per-contract trading
Trade
2
Polymarket5.0
The largest on-chain prediction market
Gretchen Whitmer11%no entry fee
Volume$5K
Min · feesNone · No trading
Trade

Ranked by the effective price after each platform's own entry fee. Fees shown are each platform's own and may change. We don't set or control them. Betting exchanges (e.g. Matchbook, Smarkets) instead charge commission on winnings, so they stay at their raw price here.

Implied probability by platform

Lowest raw implied price per outcome in gold · click a row
OutcomeKalshi4.9Polymarket5.0
Elissa Slotkin11%8%
Gretchen Whitmer10%11%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez8%11%
Mark Kelly6%3%
Pete Buttigieg6%6%
Wes Moore6%3%
Andy Beshear5%5%
Jon Ossoff5%6%
Josh Shapiro4%6%
Raphael Warnock4%5%
Gavin Newsom4%3%
Roy Cooper2%3%
Ro Khanna1%3%
James Talarico2%6%
J.B. Pritzker1%5%

These are raw implied probabilities; gold marks the lowest raw price. The Best odds above ranks by the price after each platform's entry fee, so the best place to trade can differ from the lowest raw number here.

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