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PoliticsOddsas of Aug 29, 15:00 UTC

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after next election?

MHMarcus Halloran · Politics & Elections Editor Resolves Jan 1, 2028Total volume $3.5M3 platforms

Price history

Implied probability over time
Outcome
Side
Platforms (max 3)
KalshiLimitlessPolymarket
48%58%68%22 Aug24 Aug25 Aug26 Aug28 Aug29 Aug

Where to back Gadi Eizenkot

Every independent platform that prices this outcome, best price after fees first. The buttons are affiliate links. We may earn a commission if you sign up, and it never changes the odds you see or what you pay.

1
Polymarket5.0Best odds
The largest on-chain prediction market
Gadi Eizenkot50%no entry fee
Volume$1.7M
Min · feesNone · No trading
Trade
2
Limitless4.4
On-chain markets on Base
Gadi Eizenkot50%no entry fee
Volume$49
Min · feesNone · No platform
Trade
3
Kalshi4.9
The first CFTC-regulated US event exchange
Gadi Eizenkotafter fees63%61% price + 1.7% entry fee
Volume$12K
Min · feesNone · Per-contract trading
Trade

Ranked by the effective price after each platform's own entry fee. Fees shown are each platform's own and may change. We don't set or control them. Betting exchanges (e.g. Matchbook, Smarkets) instead charge commission on winnings, so they stay at their raw price here.

Implied probability by platform

Lowest raw implied price per outcome in gold · click a row
OutcomeKalshi4.9Limitless4.4Polymarket5.0
Gadi Eizenkot61%50%50%
Benjamin Netanyahu—34%34%
Naftali Bennett14%8%8%
Israel Katz9%—0%
Avigdor Lieberman3%—4%
Yariv Levin2%—0%
Itamar Ben-Gvir2%—0%
Yair Lapid2%—0%
Yossi Cohen1%—0%
Yair Golan1%1%0%
Benny Gantz1%—0%

These are raw implied probabilities; gold marks the lowest raw price. The Best odds above ranks by the price after each platform's entry fee, so the best place to trade can differ from the lowest raw number here.

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