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SportsOddsas of Jul 14, 06:00 UTC

Guillen Meza vs Bondioli

TBTheo Berkmann · Sports Markets Writer Resolves Jul 14, 2026Total volume $3K3 platforms

Price history

Implied probability over time
Outcome
Side
Platforms (max 3)
KalshiPolymarket
43%47%50%13 Jul14 Jul

Where to back Alvaro Guillen Meza

Every independent platform that prices this outcome, best price after fees first. The buttons are affiliate links — we may earn a commission if you sign up, and it never changes the odds you see or what you pay.

1
Polymarket5.0Best odds
The largest on-chain prediction market
Alvaro Guillen Meza49%no entry fee
Volume$691
Min · feesNone · No trading
Trade
2
Kalshi4.9
The first CFTC-regulated US event exchange
Alvaro Guillen Mezaafter fees50%48% price + 1.7% entry fee
Volume$131
Min · feesNone · Per-contract trading
Trade
3
Matchbook4.5
Low-commission betting exchange
Alvaro Guillen Meza50%no entry fee · commission on winnings
Volume€0
Min · fees£10 · 2% commission
Trade

Ranked by the effective price after each platform's own entry fee. Fees shown are each platform's own and may change — we don't set or control them. Betting exchanges (e.g. Matchbook, Smarkets) instead charge commission on winnings, so they stay at their raw price here.

Implied probability by platform

Lowest raw implied price per outcome in gold · click a row
OutcomeKalshi4.9Matchbook4.5Polymarket5.0
Alvaro Guillen Meza48%50%49%
Federico Bondioli53%53%51%

These are raw implied probabilities; gold marks the lowest raw price. The Best odds above ranks by the price after each platform's entry fee, so the best place to trade can differ from the lowest raw number here.