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PoliticsOddsas of Jul 14, 01:00 UTC

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after next election?

MHMarcus Halloran · Politics & Elections Editor Resolves Jan 1, 2028Total volume —3 platforms

Price history

Implied probability over time
Outcome
Side
Platforms (max 3)
KalshiLimitlessPolymarket
20%45%70%7 Jul8 Jul9 Jul11 Jul12 Jul14 Jul

Where to back Gadi Eizenkot

Every independent platform that prices this outcome, best price after fees first. The buttons are affiliate links — we may earn a commission if you sign up, and it never changes the odds you see or what you pay.

1
Kalshi4.9Best odds
The first CFTC-regulated US event exchange
Gadi Eizenkotafter fees41%39% price + 1.7% entry fee
Volume$9K
Min · feesNone · Per-contract trading
Trade
2
Limitless4.4
On-chain markets on Base
Gadi Eizenkot41%no entry fee
Volume$14
Min · feesNone · No platform
Trade
3
Polymarket5.0
The largest on-chain prediction market
Gadi Eizenkot41%no entry fee
Volume$1.3M
Min · feesNone · No trading
Trade

Ranked by the effective price after each platform's own entry fee. Fees shown are each platform's own and may change — we don't set or control them. Betting exchanges (e.g. Matchbook, Smarkets) instead charge commission on winnings, so they stay at their raw price here.

Implied probability by platform

Lowest raw implied price per outcome in gold · click a row
OutcomeKalshi4.9Limitless4.4Polymarket5.0
Gadi Eizenkot39%41%41%
Benjamin Netanyahu—37%37%
Naftali Bennett3%12%11%
Yair Lapid5%1%0%
Benny Gantz1%—0%
Yair Golan1%1%0%
Avigdor Lieberman4%—3%
Itamar Ben-Gvir2%—1%
Yariv Levin1%—0%
Yossi Cohen1%—0%
Israel Katz6%—0%

These are raw implied probabilities; gold marks the lowest raw price. The Best odds above ranks by the price after each platform's entry fee, so the best place to trade can differ from the lowest raw number here.