PoliticsOddsas of Aug 29, 19:00 UTC
Next Senate majority leader
Price history
Implied probability over timeOutcome
Side
Platforms (max 3)
Polymarket
Where to back John Thune
Every independent platform that prices this outcome, best price after fees first. The buttons are affiliate links. We may earn a commission if you sign up, and it never changes the odds you see or what you pay.
John Thune43%no entry fee
Volume$26K
Min · feesNone · No trading
John Thune44%no entry fee
Volume—
Min · feesNone · Order-book taker
Ranked by the effective price after each platform's own entry fee. Fees shown are each platform's own and may change. We don't set or control them. Betting exchanges (e.g. Matchbook, Smarkets) instead charge commission on winnings, so they stay at their raw price here.
Implied probability by platform
Lowest raw implied price per outcome in gold · click a row| Outcome | PPascal | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|
| John Thune | 44% | 43% |
| Chuck Schumer | 40% | 40% |
| Brian Schatz | 5% | 5% |
| Tom Cotton | 3% | 3% |
| Patty Murray | 1% | 1% |
| John Barrasso | 0% | 0% |
| Cory Booker | 0% | 0% |
| Steve Daines | 0% | 0% |
| Mark Kelly | 0% | 0% |
| Amy Klobuchar | 0% | 0% |
These are raw implied probabilities; gold marks the lowest raw price. The Best odds above ranks by the price after each platform's entry fee, so the best place to trade can differ from the lowest raw number here.