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PoliticsOddsas of Jul 14, 05:00 UTC

Trump out as President before 2027?

MHMarcus Halloran · Politics & Elections Editor Resolves Jan 1, 2027Total volume $9.9M2 platforms

Price history

Implied probability over time
Side
Platforms (max 3)
LimitlessPolymarket
5%7%9%7 Jul8 Jul10 Jul11 Jul12 Jul14 Jul

Where to back Yes

Every independent platform that prices this outcome, best price after fees first. The buttons are affiliate links — we may earn a commission if you sign up, and it never changes the odds you see or what you pay.

1
Limitless4.4Best odds
On-chain markets on Base
Yes7%no entry fee
Volume$4K
Min · feesNone · No platform
Trade
2
Polymarket5.0
The largest on-chain prediction market
Yes8%no entry fee
Volume$9.9M
Min · feesNone · No trading
Trade

Ranked by the effective price after each platform's own entry fee. Fees shown are each platform's own and may change — we don't set or control them. Betting exchanges (e.g. Matchbook, Smarkets) instead charge commission on winnings, so they stay at their raw price here.

Implied probability by platform

Lowest raw implied price per outcome in gold · click a row
OutcomeLimitless4.4Polymarket5.0
Yes7%8%

These are raw implied probabilities; gold marks the lowest raw price. The Best odds above ranks by the price after each platform's entry fee, so the best place to trade can differ from the lowest raw number here.