SportsOddsas of Jul 11, 18:00 UTC

2026 FIFA World Cup: Nation to Reach Final

TBTheo Berkmann · Sports Markets Writer Resolves Jul 21, 2026Total volume $1.6M1 platforms

Price history

Implied probability over time

Outcome

Side

Platforms (max 3)

Polymarket

Where to back England

Every independent platform that prices this outcome, best price after fees first. The buttons are affiliate links — we may earn a commission if you sign up, and it never changes the odds you see or what you pay.

Polymarket5.0Best odds

The largest on-chain prediction market

England39%no entry fee

Volume$541K

Min · feesNone · No trading

Trade

Ranked by the effective price after each platform's own entry fee. Fees shown are each platform's own and may change — we don't set or control them. Betting exchanges (e.g. Matchbook, Smarkets) instead charge commission on winnings, so they stay at their raw price here.

Implied probability by platform

Lowest raw implied price per outcome in gold · click a row

Outcome	Polymarket5.0
England	39%
Mexico	0%
Norway	16%
South Korea	0%
Switzerland ·	6%
South Africa	0%
Netherlands	0%
Czechia	0%
Canada	0%
Portugal	0%
Germany	0%
Colombia	0%
Qatar	0%
Bosnia and Herzegovina	0%
Brazil	0%
Morocco	0%
Scotland	0%
Haiti	0%
USA	0%
Australia	0%
Paraguay	0%
Turkiye	0%
Ecuador	0%
Ivory Coast	0%
Curacao	0%
Japan	0%
Tunisia	0%
Sweden	0%
Belgium	0%
Iran	0%
Egypt	0%
New Zealand	0%
Spain	41%
Uruguay	0%
Saudi Arabia	0%
Cape Verde	0%
France	60%
Senegal	0%
Iraq	0%
Argentina	41%
Austria	0%
Algeria	0%
Jordan	0%
Uzbekistan	0%
DR Congo	0%
Croatia	0%
Panama	0%
Ghana	0%

These are raw implied probabilities; gold marks the lowest raw price. The Best odds above ranks by the price after each platform's entry fee, so the best place to trade can differ from the lowest raw number here.