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World Cup 2027 - Winner

TBTheo Berkmann · Sports Markets Writer Resolves Oct 1, 2026Total volume $241.9M5 platforms

Price history

Implied probability over time
Outcome
Side
Platforms (max 3)
KalshiPolymarket
No price history for this platform selection yet.Polymarket and Kalshi carry full lifetime history; others fill in as we capture daily snapshots.

Where to back Spain

Every independent platform that prices this outcome, best price after fees first. The buttons are affiliate links. We may earn a commission if you sign up, and it never changes the odds you see or what you pay.

1
Hyperliquid4.6
On-chain markets on a high-speed L1
Spain13%no entry fee
Volume—
Min · feesNone · No platform
Market closed
2
Polymarket5.0
The largest on-chain prediction market
Spain58%no entry fee
Volume$120.2M
Min · feesNone · No trading
Market closed
3
Kalshi4.9
The first CFTC-regulated US event exchange
Spainafter fees63%61% price + 1.7% entry fee
Volume$48.7M
Min · feesNone · Per-contract trading
Market closed
4
Limitless4.4
On-chain markets on Base
Spain100%no entry fee
Volume$14K
Min · feesNone · No platform
Market closed
5
Pascal4.2
Non-custodial order-book prediction markets on Solana
Spain100%no entry fee
Volume$13K
Min · feesNone · Order-book taker
Market closed

Ranked by the effective price after each platform's own entry fee. Fees shown are each platform's own and may change. We don't set or control them. Betting exchanges (e.g. Matchbook, Smarkets) instead charge commission on winnings, so they stay at their raw price here.

Implied probability by platform

Lowest tradable raw price per outcome in gold · click a row
OutcomeHyperliquid4.6Kalshi4.9Limitless4.4Pascal4.2Polymarket5.0
South Africa—0%———
Spain13%61%100%100%58%
New Zealand—0%———
France (Eliminated)—————
France35%0%0%0%0%
England (Eliminated)—————
Ireland—————
England7%0%0%0%0%
Turkey—0%———
Colombia3%0%1%—0%
Australia0%0%——0%
Norway (eliminated)—————
Argentina17%39%0%0%42%
Belgium 🇧🇪 1%0%1%0%0%
Egypt0%0%——0%
Macedonia—————
Belgium (eliminated)—————
Scotland0%0%———
Uruguay (eliminated)—————
Ecuador0%0%1%—0%
Columbia —————
Greece —————
USA (eliminated)—————
Portugal6%0%0%—0%
Brazil7%0%1%—0%
Wales—————
Germany (Eliminated)—————
Norway2%0%0%0%0%
Netherlands 1%0%3%—3%
South Korea—0%1%——
Netherlands (eliminated)—————
Uruguay1%0%1%—1%
Croatia (eliminated)—————
Germany1%0%3%—3%
Italy——2%——
Switzerland1%0%0%0%0%
Canada (eliminated)—————
Ghana0%0%——0%
Fiji—————
Croatia1%0%1%—0%
Austria0%0%0%—0%
Panama0%0%———
Japan (eliminated)—————
Samoa—————
Canada1%0%1%—0%
Brazil (elimanted)—————
Sweden3%0%———
Senegal0%0%0%—1%
Portugal (eliminated)—————
Chile—————
Morocco3%0%1%—0%
Romania—————
Congo DR—1%——0%
Cape Verde1%0%——0%
Namibia—————
Mexico4%0%3%—0%
USA3%0%——0%
Japan0%0%1%—2%
Denmark—————
Iran0%0%———
Nigeria—————
Ivory Coast0%0%——0%
Tonga—————
Paraguay0%0%——0%
Saudi Arabia—0%———
Tunisia—0%———
Uzbekistan—0%———
Jordan0%0%———
Algeria—0%——0%
Qatar—0%———
Curacao—0%———
Haiti—0%———
Czechia—1%———
Bosnia and Herzegovina1%1%———
Iraq0%1%———

These are raw implied probabilities; gold marks the lowest raw price we can confirm is tradable. A price on a book too wide to trade is shown, but never marked. The Best odds above ranks by the price after each platform's entry fee, so the best place to trade can differ from the lowest raw number here.

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