Politics Only on Polymarket
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
14%
Implied probability · Yes
$39.0M
Total volume
Dec 31, 2026
Resolution date
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What this market asked
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? is priced at 14% on Polymarket — the market's view that yes is the favourite. The market has $39.0M of volume behind it and resolves on Dec 31, 2026.
How it resolves
The market settles on Polymarket per its stated rules, with a close date of Dec 31, 2026. Prices are implied probabilities — they move as traders take positions; the figure above is the most recent price we ingested.
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