Politics Only on Kalshi
Will the Citrini scenario happen?
22%
Implied probability · Yes
$25.8M
Total volume
Jul 1, 2028
Resolution date
Price history
Implied probability on Kalshi · last 7 daysPrice history · Yes
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What this market asked
Will the Citrini scenario happen? is priced at 22% on Kalshi — the market's view that yes is the favourite. The market has $25.8M of volume behind it and resolves on Jul 1, 2028.
How it resolves
The market settles on Kalshi per its stated rules, with a close date of Jul 1, 2028. Prices are implied probabilities — they move as traders take positions; the figure above is the most recent price we ingested.
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