Politics Only on Gemini
Will crypto market structure legislation become law?
50%
Implied probability · Before July 2026?
$205K
Total volume
Jan 1, 2027
Resolution date
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What this market asked
Will crypto market structure legislation become law? is priced at 50% on Gemini, the market's view that before july 2026? is the favourite. The market has $205K of volume behind it and resolves on Jan 1, 2027.
The full board
Implied probability for each outcome on Gemini:
Before July 2026?
50%
Before 2027?
21%
Before November 2026?
17%
Before December 2026?
16%
Before October 2026?
9%
Before August 2026?
1%
Before September 2026?
1%
How it resolves
The market settles on Gemini per its stated rules, with a close date of Jan 1, 2027. Prices are implied probabilities. They move as traders take positions; the figure above is the most recent price we ingested.
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