Politics Only on Gemini
Which party will win the U.S. House?
49%
Implied probability · Democratic Party
$262K
Total volume
Feb 1, 2027
Resolution date
Price history
Implied probability on Gemini · last 7 daysPrice history · Democratic Party
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What this market asked
Which party will win the U.S. House? is priced at 49% on Gemini, the market's view that democratic party is the favourite. The market has $262K of volume behind it and resolves on Feb 1, 2027.
The full board
Implied probability for each outcome on Gemini:
Democratic Party
49%
Republican Party
18%
How it resolves
The market settles on Gemini per its stated rules, with a close date of Feb 1, 2027. Prices are implied probabilities. They move as traders take positions; the figure above is the most recent price we ingested.
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