Economics Only on Gemini
Which companies will the US take a stake in before 2027?
88%
Implied probability · GlobalFoundries
$156K
Total volume
Jan 1, 2027
Resolution date
Price history
Implied probability on Gemini · last 7 daysPrice history · GlobalFoundries
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What this market asked
Which companies will the US take a stake in before 2027? is priced at 88% on Gemini, the market's view that globalfoundries is the favourite. The market has $156K of volume behind it and resolves on Jan 1, 2027.
The full board
Implied probability for each outcome on Gemini:
GlobalFoundries
88%
D-Wave Quantum
85%
Rigetti Computing
79%
Anduril
19%
IonQ
16%
Anthropic
14%
TSMC
13%
Palantir
13%
How it resolves
The market settles on Gemini per its stated rules, with a close date of Jan 1, 2027. Prices are implied probabilities. They move as traders take positions; the figure above is the most recent price we ingested.
Disclosure. Outbound links to Gemini are affiliate links. We may earn a fee if you sign up or trade. Prices are implied probabilities, shown for information only. We are an independent comparison service, not a broker or adviser. Prediction markets carry risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose. 18+.