Economics Only on Gemini
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
31%
Implied probability · Before January 01, 2027
$100K
Total volume
Jan 2, 2027
Resolution date
Price history
Implied probability on Gemini · last 7 daysPrice history · Before January 01, 2027
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What this market asked
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal? is priced at 31% on Gemini, the market's view that before january 01, 2027 is the favourite. The market has $100K of volume behind it and resolves on Jan 2, 2027.
The full board
Implied probability for each outcome on Gemini:
Before January 01, 2027
31%
Before December 01, 2026
23%
Before November 01, 2026
13%
Before October 01, 2026
4%
Before September 01, 2026
2%
Before August 01, 2026
1%
How it resolves
The market settles on Gemini per its stated rules, with a close date of Jan 2, 2027. Prices are implied probabilities. They move as traders take positions; the figure above is the most recent price we ingested.
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