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SportsOddsas of Jul 22, 16:00 UTC

Yosuke Watanuki vs Toby Samuel

TBTheo Berkmann · Sports Markets Writer Resolves Jul 22, 2026Total volume $1K3 platforms

Price history

Implied probability over time
Outcome
Side
Platforms (max 3)
KalshiPolymarket
28%32%36%22 Jul

Where to back Yosuke Watanuki

Every independent platform that prices this outcome, best price after fees first. The buttons are affiliate links — we may earn a commission if you sign up, and it never changes the odds you see or what you pay.

1
Polymarket5.0Best odds
The largest on-chain prediction market
Yosuke Watanuki29%no entry fee
Volume$484
Min · feesNone · No trading
Trade
2
Kalshi4.9
The first CFTC-regulated US event exchange
Yosuke Watanukiafter fees30%29% price + 1.4% entry fee
Volume$51
Min · feesNone · Per-contract trading
Trade
3
Matchbook4.5
Low-commission betting exchange
Yosuke Watanuki30%no entry fee · commission on winnings
Volume€0
Min · fees£10 · 2% commission
Trade

Ranked by the effective price after each platform's own entry fee. Fees shown are each platform's own and may change — we don't set or control them. Betting exchanges (e.g. Matchbook, Smarkets) instead charge commission on winnings, so they stay at their raw price here.

Implied probability by platform

Lowest raw implied price per outcome in gold · click a row
OutcomeKalshi4.9Matchbook4.5Polymarket5.0
Yosuke Watanuki29%30%29%
Toby Samuel73%74%71%

These are raw implied probabilities; gold marks the lowest raw price. The Best odds above ranks by the price after each platform's entry fee, so the best place to trade can differ from the lowest raw number here.