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This market has resolved. The prices below are the last we captured from each platform, kept here for reference. Browse the archive →
SportsPre-game oddsevent concluded

Valerio Aboian vs Sebastian Sorger

TBTheo Berkmann · Sports Markets Writer Resolves Sep 3, 2026Total volume $446K4 platforms

Price history

Implied probability over time
Outcome
Side
Platforms (max 3)
KalshiPolymarket
No price history for this platform selection yet.Polymarket and Kalshi carry full lifetime history; others fill in as we capture daily snapshots.

Where to back Sebastian Sorger

Every independent platform that prices this outcome, best price after fees first. The buttons are affiliate links. We may earn a commission if you sign up, and it never changes the odds you see or what you pay.

1
Polymarket5.0
The largest on-chain prediction market
Sebastian Sorger0%no entry fee
Volume$256K
Min · feesNone · No trading
Market closed
2
Kalshi4.9
The first CFTC-regulated US event exchange
Sebastian Sorgerafter fees64%62% price + 1.6% entry fee
Volume$100K
Min · feesNone · Per-contract trading
Market closed
3
SX Bet4.1
On-chain peer-to-peer sports exchange
Sebastian Sorger64%no entry fee · commission on winnings
Volume—
Min · feesNone · Small fee
Market closed
4
Smarkets4.5
Low-commission UK exchange
Sebastian Sorger80%no entry fee · commission on winnings
Volume—
Min · fees£10 · 2% commission
Market closed

Ranked by the effective price after each platform's own entry fee. Fees shown are each platform's own and may change. We don't set or control them. Betting exchanges (e.g. Matchbook, Smarkets) instead charge commission on winnings, so they stay at their raw price here.

Implied probability by platform

Lowest tradable raw price per outcome in gold · click a row
OutcomeKalshi4.9Polymarket5.0Smarkets4.5SX Bet4.1
Valerio Aboian39%100%26%42%
Sebastian Sorger62%0%80%64%

These are raw implied probabilities; gold marks the lowest raw price we can confirm is tradable. A price on a book too wide to trade is shown, but never marked. The Best odds above ranks by the price after each platform's entry fee, so the best place to trade can differ from the lowest raw number here.

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