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This market has resolved. The prices below are the last we captured from each platform, kept here for reference. Browse the archive →
SportsPre-game oddsevent concluded

Rafael Jodar vs Shintaro Mochizuki

TBTheo Berkmann · Sports Markets Writer Resolves Jul 3, 2026Total volume $1.1M4 platforms

Price history

Implied probability over time
Outcome
Side
Platforms (max 3)
Polymarket
No price history for this platform selection yet.Polymarket and Kalshi carry full lifetime history; others fill in as we capture daily snapshots.

Where to back Shintaro Mochizuki

Every independent platform that prices this outcome, best price after fees first. The buttons are affiliate links. We may earn a commission if you sign up, and it never changes the odds you see or what you pay.

1
Matchbook4.5
Low-commission betting exchange
Shintaro Mochizuki25%no entry fee · commission on winnings
Volume€495
Min · fees£10 · 2% commission
Market closed
2
Gemini4.6
Event markets from the Gemini exchange
Shintaro Mochizukiafter fees62%61% price + 1.2% entry fee
Volume$580
Min · feesNone · Per-contract trading
Market closed
3
SX Bet4.1
On-chain peer-to-peer sports exchange
Shintaro Mochizuki67%no entry fee · commission on winnings
Volume—
Min · feesNone · Small fee
Market closed
4
Polymarket5.0
The largest on-chain prediction market
Shintaro Mochizuki100%no entry fee
Volume$1.1M
Min · feesNone · No trading
Market closed

Ranked by the effective price after each platform's own entry fee. Fees shown are each platform's own and may change. We don't set or control them. Betting exchanges (e.g. Matchbook, Smarkets) instead charge commission on winnings, so they stay at their raw price here.

Implied probability by platform

Lowest tradable raw price per outcome in gold · click a row
OutcomeGemini4.6Matchbook4.5Polymarket5.0SX Bet4.1
Rafael Jodar45%75%0%43%
Shintaro Mochizuki61%25%100%67%

These are raw implied probabilities; gold marks the lowest raw price we can confirm is tradable. A price on a book too wide to trade is shown, but never marked. The Best odds above ranks by the price after each platform's entry fee, so the best place to trade can differ from the lowest raw number here.

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