SportsOddsas of Jul 21, 03:00 UTC

Nuno Borges vs Orlando Luz

TBTheo Berkmann · Sports Markets Writer Resolves Jul 21, 2026Total volume $60K4 platforms

Price history

Implied probability over time

Outcome

Side

Platforms (max 3)

KalshiPolymarket

Where to back Nuno Borges

Every independent platform that prices this outcome, best price after fees first. The buttons are affiliate links — we may earn a commission if you sign up, and it never changes the odds you see or what you pay.

Matchbook4.5Best odds

Low-commission betting exchange

Nuno Borges94%no entry fee · commission on winnings

Volume€830

Min · fees£10 · 2% commission

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Kalshi4.9

The first CFTC-regulated US event exchange

Nuno Borgesafter fees95%95% price + 0.3% entry fee

Volume$16K

Min · feesNone · Per-contract trading

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Polymarket5.0

The largest on-chain prediction market

Nuno Borges95%no entry fee

Volume$14K

Min · feesNone · No trading

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SX Bet4.1

On-chain peer-to-peer sports exchange

Nuno Borges95%no entry fee · commission on winnings

Volume—

Min · feesNone · Small fee

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Ranked by the effective price after each platform's own entry fee. Fees shown are each platform's own and may change — we don't set or control them. Betting exchanges (e.g. Matchbook, Smarkets) instead charge commission on winnings, so they stay at their raw price here.

Implied probability by platform

Lowest raw implied price per outcome in gold · click a row

Outcome	Kalshi4.9	MMatchbook4.5	Polymarket5.0	SX Bet4.1
Nuno Borges	95%	94%	95%	95%
Orlando Luz	7%	6%	6%	8%

These are raw implied probabilities; gold marks the lowest raw price. The Best odds above ranks by the price after each platform's entry fee, so the best place to trade can differ from the lowest raw number here.