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SportsOddsas of Jul 22, 16:00 UTC

Mark Lajal vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz

TBTheo Berkmann · Sports Markets Writer Resolves Jul 22, 2026Total volume $20K3 platforms

Price history

Implied probability over time
Outcome
Side
Platforms (max 3)
KalshiPolymarket
51%53%55%22 Jul

Where to back Mark Lajal

Every independent platform that prices this outcome, best price after fees first. The buttons are affiliate links — we may earn a commission if you sign up, and it never changes the odds you see or what you pay.

1
Matchbook4.5Best odds
Low-commission betting exchange
Mark Lajal53%no entry fee · commission on winnings
Volume€1
Min · fees£10 · 2% commission
Trade
2
Polymarket5.0
The largest on-chain prediction market
Mark Lajal53%no entry fee
Volume$16K
Min · feesNone · No trading
Trade
3
Kalshi4.9
The first CFTC-regulated US event exchange
Mark Lajalafter fees56%54% price + 1.7% entry fee
Volume$3K
Min · feesNone · Per-contract trading
Trade

Ranked by the effective price after each platform's own entry fee. Fees shown are each platform's own and may change — we don't set or control them. Betting exchanges (e.g. Matchbook, Smarkets) instead charge commission on winnings, so they stay at their raw price here.

Implied probability by platform

Lowest raw implied price per outcome in gold · click a row
OutcomeKalshi4.9Matchbook4.5Polymarket5.0
Mark Lajal54%53%53%
Pablo Llamas Ruiz47%48%48%

These are raw implied probabilities; gold marks the lowest raw price. The Best odds above ranks by the price after each platform's entry fee, so the best place to trade can differ from the lowest raw number here.