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SportsOddsas of Jul 14, 15:00 UTC

Hayato Matsuoka vs Hiroki Moriya

TBTheo Berkmann · Sports Markets Writer Resolves Jul 14, 2026Total volume $4903 platforms

Price history

Implied probability over time
Outcome
Side
Platforms (max 3)
KalshiPolymarket
58%59%61%14 Jul

Where to back Hayato Matsuoka

Every independent platform that prices this outcome, best price after fees first. The buttons are affiliate links — we may earn a commission if you sign up, and it never changes the odds you see or what you pay.

1
Polymarket5.0Best odds
The largest on-chain prediction market
Hayato Matsuoka59%no entry fee
Volume$440
Min · feesNone · No trading
Trade
2
Matchbook4.5
Low-commission betting exchange
Hayato Matsuoka61%no entry fee · commission on winnings
Volume€0
Min · fees£10 · 2% commission
Trade
3
Kalshi4.9
The first CFTC-regulated US event exchange
Hayato Matsuokaafter fees62%60% price + 1.7% entry fee
Volume$50
Min · feesNone · Per-contract trading
Trade

Ranked by the effective price after each platform's own entry fee. Fees shown are each platform's own and may change — we don't set or control them. Betting exchanges (e.g. Matchbook, Smarkets) instead charge commission on winnings, so they stay at their raw price here.

Implied probability by platform

Lowest raw implied price per outcome in gold · click a row
OutcomeKalshi4.9Matchbook4.5Polymarket5.0
Hayato Matsuoka60%61%59%
Hiroki Moriya43%43%41%

These are raw implied probabilities; gold marks the lowest raw price. The Best odds above ranks by the price after each platform's entry fee, so the best place to trade can differ from the lowest raw number here.